Atlanta Hawks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Game Information
Atlanta Hawks (13-17) vs. Cleveland Cavaliers (10-21)
Time: 7:00 p.m. ET
Venue: Rocket Mortgage FieldHouse
TV Coverage: NBA League Pass, Fox Sports Southeast, Fox Sports Ohio
Atlanta Hawks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Moneyline, Spread, Total, and Odds
Moneyline: (Open: Hawks -285 / Cavaliers +235) (Current: Hawks -290 / Cavaliers +240)
Spread: (Open: Hawks -7) (Current: Hawks -7)
Total: (Open: 229) (Current: 227.5)
NBA Championship Odds: Hawks +16000 / Cavaliers +25000
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Atlanta Hawks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers News and Notes
Atlanta lists five players on their injury report: Cam Reddish (Achilles) and Rajon Rondo (back) will be game-time decisions while Kris Dunn (ankle), De’Andre Hunter (knee), and Bogdan Bogdanovic (knee) have been ruled out.
Cleveland lists five players on their injury report: Taurean Prince (ankle) will be a game-time decision. Kevin Love (calf), Andre Drummond (not injury-related), Larry Nance (finger), and Matthew Delladova (abdomen) have all been ruled out.
- The total has gone over (8-0) in Atlanta’s last eight games.
- The total is on an 8-0 run to the over when Atlanta allows 100 or more in their previous game.
- The total is on a 5-0 to run to the over when Atlanta’s opponents 100 or more in their previous game.
- Cleveland is on an 0-4 ATS run following a double-digit loss at home.
- The total is 21-8 to the over in the last 29 meetings in Cleveland.
- The total is 23-9 to the over in the last 32 meetings.
Atlanta Hawks vs. Cleveland Cavaliers Predictions and Picks
I find this to be an interesting game to assess both from a trend and statistical perspective. The first thing that jumped out to me is that the total has gone over in Atlanta’s last eight games. The Hawks don’t necessarily profile as a team that plays over the total. In fact, they’re only 14-16 to the over this season. That means that before this run, they were just 6-16 to the over. So what has changed? Well, for one reason or another, Atlanta has made the decision essentially to offer minimal resistance on the defensive end. If you look at their last three games, Atlanta allows their opponents 1.15 points per possession, resulting in a shooting percentage of 51.2% from the floor.
As for the Cavaliers, to say they’ve hit a rough patch would be an understatement. Cleveland comes into this game on a ten-game losing streak, with nine of those losses being by 10 or more points. The Cavaliers have allowed opponents to shoot 54.7% from the field over the last three games. What’s even more astounding is that they’ve allowed 15 three-pointers per game over that same span. So not only are opponents getting easy baskets, but they don’t seem to face any resistance when they’re behind the perimeter.
I’m not sure when this Atlanta run of eight straight games going over the total will end. But I know that we have two teams that don’t seem to be too bothered with playing any defense. Over their last three games, Atlanta’s offensive efficiency of 1.16 points per possession is higher than their season average of 1.09. I would expect that to continue tonight. The Hawks are 3-7 in their last ten games, but each of those wins was by at least 8 points or more. Trae Young has also caught fire recently with 30 points in each of his last three games. I’ll look to target his prop total over 28.5 tonight, and I’ll also lay the points with the Hawks and play this game over the total.
If at least two of those three plays can get home, it will be another positive night for my bankroll.
The Pick: Over 227.5; Hawks -7
Bonus: Trae Young points over 28.5