Baltimore Orioles vs. Tampa Bay Rays MLB Picks, Odds, Predictions 6/11/2021

The Baltimore Orioles and the Tampa Bay Rays meet in an AL East division matchup in MLB action from Tropicana Field on Friday night.

The Baltimore Orioles will look to bounce back from a 14-1 beatdown loss at the hands of the Mets in their last matchup. Ryan Mountcastle accounted for the lone Baltimore RBI in the losing effort while Maikel Franco went 2 for 3 with a double. Pat Valaika, Trey Mancini and Cedric Mullins each had a base hit as well as the Orioles mustered up just six hits as a team in the losing effort. Matt Harvey took the loss for the Orioles, falling to 3-7 on the year after allowing seven earned runs on eight hits while striking out a pair over three innings of work. Keegan Akin will start here and is 0-0 with a 3.60 ERA and 18 strikeouts this season. This will be Akin’s first career start against Tampa Bay.

The Tampa Bay Rays will look to rebound from a 9-7 extra innings loss to Washington last time out. Randy Arozarena went 3 for 5 with a triple and three RBIs while Joey Wendle had a solo home run and two RBIs. Taylor Walls had a solo home run as well while Mike Brosseau added an RBI as well to finish off the scoring for the Rays in the losing effort. Yandy Diaz also added a pair of hits as well in the defeat for the Rays last time out. Shane McClanahan gave up three runs on five hits while striking out four over three innings of work. Diego Castillo took the loss to fall to 2-3 on the year in relief. Ryan Yarbrough will start this one and is 3-3 with a 3.95 ERA 53 strikeouts this season. In his career, Yarbrough is 3-1 with a 3.40 ERA and 39 strikeouts against Baltimore.

Baltimore is 73-163 in their last 236 road games and 37-83 in their last 120 division games while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall. Tampa Bay is 20-6 in their last 26 games overall and 62-29 in their last 91 home games while the under is 8-1 in their last 9 home games against a left-handed starter. Baltimore is 1-9 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams and 5-21 in the last 26 meetings between these two teams in Tampa Bay.

I get that the Orioles have been in a nice run of from as of late, but they’re still the Baltimore Orioles that we love to fade and profit off of and it’s not often that you’re going to get this kind of price with the Rays against Baltimore at home. I know -160 may be steep for some, but you could argue that this line should be in the -200s at least. Give me the Rays here.

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