Brewers vs Pirates Odds, Lines & Spread (Aug 4)

  • The Milwaukee Brewers are -250 road favorites over the Pittsburgh Pirates in a National League afternoon game scheduled for Thursday, August 4
  • Entering play Tuesday, Pittsburgh was 1-7 straight up over the past eight games
  • Below, see the Brewers vs Pirates odds, picks, and betting trends

It’s worst-versus-first in the National League Central, as the last-place Pittsburgh Pirates (41-62, 22-29 home) play host to the division-leading Milwaukee Brewers (57-48, 31-26 away) in the final game of a three-game weekday series.

Not much is going right for the Pirates of late. Entering play Tuesday they were 1-7 straight up over their past eight games. That includes a 1-5 slate on a current eight-game homestead that wraps up with this game.

The Brewers are mostly enjoying facing the Pirates this season. Milwaukee is 9-5 SU against the Pirates this season. They’re 5-3 SU at Pittsburgh.

Taking all of this into consideration, it’s no wonder then that it’s the Brewers who are -250 road favorites in the rubber match of this three-game set. Pittsburgh is 15-26 against the run line as a home underdog this season.

First pitch at PNC Park is set for 12:35 pm ET on Thursday, August 4. The weather forecast is showing partly cloudy skies with 9 mph wind and a temperature of 91 degrees.

Brewers vs Pirates Odds

Team Moneyline Runline Total
Milwaukee Brewers -250 -1.5 (+140) O 8 (-105)
Pittsburgh Pirates +205 +1.5 (+118) U 8 (-115)

Odds as of August 3 at Caesars Sportsbook. See available Caesars Sportsbook bonus code.

 

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At odds of -250, the Brewers are offering an implied probability of victory of 71.43% in the MLB betting line. A successful $10 wager on Milwaukee would deliver a payout of $14.00.

The Brewers are the -425 odds-on favorites to win the NL Central in the MLB Division odds Pittsburgh is listed at +40000 to win the division. The MLB pennant odds have Milwaukee at odds of +950, while Pittsburgh is at +100000. In the World Series odds, bettors can access +2000 odds on the Brewers to win the MLB championship. Pittsburgh is +200000.

Milwaukee vs Pittsburgh Probable Pitchers

Brewers right-hander Brandon Woodruff has won his last four decisions. He’s 6-1 since May 15. Woodruff has held the opposition to one earned run or fewer through six of his last nine starts.

The Brewers pitcher hasn’t surrendered a home run over his past 36.1 innings. Woodruff has struck out at least eight batters in five of his past six trips to the mound.

He’s 2-0 with a 2.86 ERA in four starts this season against the Pirates. Woodruff is 1-0 with a 3.60 ERA in two starts at Pittsburgh.

He’s made 14 appearances, 12 of them starts, against the Pirates over his career. Woodruff is 6-2 with a 3.78 ERA and 1.04 WHIP. At PNC Park Woodruff is 2-0 with a 3.70 ERA.

Woodruff vs Thompson Stats

Brandon Woodruff
VS
Zach Thompson
9-3 Record 3-8
5.59 ERA 5.09
3.55 xERA 5.34
1.14 WHIP 1.48
4.21 SO/W Ratio 5.00

Right-hander Zach Thompson of the Pirates is winless over his last seven starts. He was 0-3 with a 6.33 ERA in five July starts.

Thompson has allowed 14 earned runs through his last 11 innings – seven earned runs in each of his last two starts. He’s 2-6 with a 5.51 ERA in 10 home starts.

Among MLB hurlers, Thompson rates in the bottom 5% in xBA (.286), the bottom 8% in strikeout percentage (15.3) and the bottom 9% in xERA (.534) and xwOBA (.355).

Thompson is 0-2 with a 6.75 ERA in three starts this season against Milwaukee. That’s the only times he’s faced the Brewers during his brief, two-season MLB career.

Batting Average vs Starting Pitchers

Pirates Batters Batting Average vs Woodruff Brewers Batters Batting Average vs Thompson
Greg Allen .000 Willy Adames .571
Michael Chavis .333 Mike Brosseau .000
Oneil Cruz .250 Victor Caratini .250
Jason Delay .000 Jonathan Davis .000
Ben Gamel .182 Keston Hiura .500
Ke’Bryan Hayes .214 Andrew McCutchen .200
Tyler Heidemann .000 Omar Narvaez .500
Bligh Madris .333 Hunter Renfroe .000
Tucupita Marcano .000 Tyrone Taylor .000
Cal Mitchell .000 Rowdy Tellez .000
Kevin Newman .333 Luis Urias .500
Bryan Reynolds .071 Kolten Wong .200
Josh VanMeter .000 Christian Yelich .500

Pirates hitters Bligh Madris (1-for-3), Michael Chavis (1-for-3) and Kevin Newman (8-for-24) are all batting .333 when facing Woodruff. Newman has homered and driven in two runs. Ben Gamel has also gone deep when batting against Woodruff.

For the Brewers, Willy Adames is 4-for-7 (.571) at the plate against Thompson. Christian Yelich is 3-for-6 (.500) with a grand slam. Luis Urias and Omar Narvaez are each 2-for-4 (.500) and both have homered. Keston Hiura is 1-for-2 (.500).

Brewers vs Pirates Prediction

Since coming back from a June stint on the IL due to Raynaud’s syndrome, a circulatory condition, Woodruff is looking like the pitcher who was an all-star and fifth in NL Cy Young voting last season.

It’s been a long time since Thompson was looking anything like a competent MLB starting pitcher. This has all the makings of a game that could quickly get out of hand.

Pick: Milwaukee Brewers RL -1.5 (+140)

 

The post Brewers vs Pirates Odds, Lines & Spread (Aug 4) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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