The Chicago Cubs and Cincinnati Reds meet Sunday in MLB action at Great American Ball Park.
The Chicago Cubs need a win after losing six of their last eight games. The Cubs have scored 18 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in five of their last 10 games. The Cubs have won five of their last eight games when scoring four or more runs. Kris Bryant leads the Cubs with 28 hits and 19 RBI while Anthony Rizzo and Javier Baez have combined for 42 hits and 28 RBI. Trevor Williams gets the ball, and he is 2-2 with a 4.44 ERA and 27 strikeouts this season. Williams is 6-3 with a 3.50 ERA and 52 strikeouts in his career against the Reds.
The Cincinnati Reds look for a win after splitting their last six games. The Reds have scored 10 runs in their last three games and four or more runs in seven of their last 11 games. The Reds have split their last eight games when scoring four or more runs. Jesse Winker leads the Reds with 30 hits and 16 RBI while Nick Castellanos and Joey Votto have combined for 53 hits and 32 RBI. Tyler Mahle gets the ball, and he is 1-1 with a 1.75 ERA and 36 strikeouts this season. Mahle is 3-2 with a 3.23 ERA and 50 strikeouts in his career against the Cubs.
The Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 games as an underdog and 1-6 in their last 7 during game 3 of a series. The Reds are 15-6 in their last 21 games as a home favorite and 1-4 in their last 5 home games. The over is 4-1 in Cubs last 5 overall. The over is 4-0 in Reds last 4 games as a favorite. The over is 37-15-5 in the last 57 meetings in Cincinnati and 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
I considered the Chicago Cubs and the plus money here, but the offense continues to come up short time and time again, and they’re going up against a hot pitcher in Tyler Mahle. In his last 11.2 innings, Mahle has allowed seven hits and one run. On the season, Mahle is allowing a .159 batting average and averaging 12.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Give me the Reds and the somewhat reasonable price.