Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago White Sox MLB Picks, Odds, Predictions 5/4/21

The Chicago White Sox and the Cincinnati Reds meet in MLB action from the Great American Ballpark on Tuesday evening.

The Chicago White Sox will look to bounce back from a 5-0 loss at the hands of the Cleveland Indians in their last game. Yermin Mercedes leads the White Sox with a .395 batting average, a .435 OBP and 34 hits while sharing the team lead in home runs with Jose Abreu as both have 5 home runs this season. Abreu leads the White Sox with 19 RBIs while Adam Eaton has 18 RBIs and Nick Madrigal has a pair of triples as well this season. Dylan Cease will start this game and is 1-0 with a 2.96 ERA and 29 strikeouts this season. This will be Cease’s second career start against Cincinnati.

The Cincinnati Reds will look to build over their thrilling 13-12 win over the Cubs in Sunday’s finale. Jesse Winker leads the Reds with a .365 batting average and a .419 OBP with 5 doubles while Nick Castellanos has a team-high 9 home runs, 20 RBIs, 35 hits and 6 doubles. Jonathan India has a pair of triples while Joey Votto has 6 doubles with 5 homers and 17 RBIs as well. Tyler Naquin shares the team lead in home runs with Castellanos as Naquin’s got 6 home runs and 19 RBIs as well this season. Jeff Hoffman is expected to start here and is 2-1 with a 3.33 ERA and 19 strikeouts this season. This will be Hoffman’s second career start against the White Sox.

Chicago is 4-0 in their last 4 games following a loss and 7-3 in their last 10 games overall while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games as a road favorite. Cincinnati is 6-2 in their last 8 series opening games and 4-1 in their last 5 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 3-0-1 in their last 4 games as an underdog.

I get the White Sox being favored based on name brand with some of the pieces on their roster, and Cease looked good last time out, but he’s really been average against any other team that isn’t the Detroit Tigers. Cincinnati took it to the Cubs offensively over the weekend and Hoffman’s been a far better pitcher at home than on the road this season. I see value with the Reds and the plus money on Tuesday.

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