Egg Bowl: Mississippi State vs Ole Miss 11/25/21 College Football Picks, Best Bets and Odds

The Mississippi State Bulldogs and Ole Miss Rebels clash Thanksgiving night in week 13 SEC college football action in the 118th version of the Egg Bowl at Davis Wade Stadium in Starkville. The Ole Miss Rebels look to build on their three-game winning streak. The Mississippi State Bulldogs look for a win after winning four of their last five games.

The Ole Miss Rebels have lost two of their last three road games. Matt Corral is completing 67.5 percent of his passes for 3,100 yards, 19 touchdowns and 3 interceptions. Dontario Drummond and Braylon Sanders have combined for 1,272 receiving yards and 11 touchdowns, while Jahcour Pearson has 25 receptions. The Ole Miss Rebels ground game is averaging 231.1 yards per contest, and Jerrion Ealy leads the way with 643 yards and 5 touchdowns. Defensively, Ole Miss is allowing 25.4 points and 429.6 yards per game. Chance Campbell leads the Ole Miss Rebels with 87 tackles, Sam Williams has 10.5 sacks and AJ Finey has 3 interceptions.

The Mississippi State Bulldogs have won four of their last six home games. Will Rogers is completing 76 percent of his passes for 4,113 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions. Makai Polk and Jaden Walley have combined for 1,460 receiving yards and 14 touchdowns, while Austin Williams has 45 receptions. The Mississippi State Bulldogs ground game is averaging 62.1 yards per contest, and Dillon Johnson leads the way with 397 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Mississippi State is allowing 24.7 points and 326.1 yards per game. Jett Johnson leads the Mississippi State Bulldogs with 73 tackles, Tyrus Wheat has 6 sacks and Emmanuel Forbes has 3 interceptions.

The Rebels are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog and 4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. The Bulldogs are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 Thursday games and 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall. The under is 6-0 in Rebels last 6 games overall. The over is 4-0 in Bulldogs last 4 games overall. The Rebels are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 meetings.

The Ole Miss Rebels have played the more consistent football this season, but it’s the Mississippi State Bulldogs who have more balance to their attack, and their seventh rated rush defense could be the difference here. Mississippi State could turn Ole Miss into a one dimensional offense for this contest. Also, the home team has won 12 of the last 17 meetings in the Egg Bowl. These teams hate each. Near pick em game, give me the Bulldogs at home.

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