Hubert Hurkacz vs Novak Djokovic 5/6/22 Madrid Tennis Picks, Predictions, Odds

Novak Djokovic and Hubert Hurkacz meet in the quarterfinals of the 2022 tennis Madrid Open.

Novak Djokovic is coming off a walkover victory over Andy Murray. Murray was forced to withdraw from the match due to an illness. Djokovic will be well rested for this match, given that he’s played an hour and a half of tennis to get to this point. Djokovic’s win over Gael Monfils was his most impressive showing in quite some time, and it was his first straight sets win since Dubai back in February. Djokovic looks to make his fifth Masters semifinal since 2020. Djokovic also looks to make a seventh career quarterfinal in Madrid. Djokovic has won eight of his last 10 matches on clay court.

Hubert Hurkacz is coming off a straight set win over Dusan Lajovic that took 21 games to decide. In the victory, Hurkacz won 83 percent of his first serve points and 50 percent of his second serve points. Hurkacz won 69 percent of his total service points and converted on two of his 11 break points. Hurkacz got 58 percent of his first serves in play and hit 16 aces. Hurkacz has played eight sets to get to this point and has won 10 of his last 12 matches overall. Hurkacz looks to make his fourth career ATP 1000 semifinal appearance and first ever in Madrid. Hurkacz is 3-4 in career 1000 quarterfinal matches. Hurkacz has won six of his last seven matches on clay court.

Djokovic has won all three meetings against Hurkacz, which includes the most recent match last year in Paris. Only one meeting was decided in straight sets, which was the 2019 French Open, their only meeting on clay.

Djokovic looked good in his last outing, and he’s the more rested player here. Hurkacz gives himself a chance if he can pile up so many free points with his serve, but he’s also played a lot of tennis to get to this point, and the h2h numbers against Novak aren’t great. This will be a competitive match and Hurkacz could even steal a set, but I like Djokovic to advance.

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