Iowa State vs TCU 11/26/21 College Football Picks, Predictions, Odds

The Iowa State Cyclones and TCU Horned Frogs do battle Friday afternoon in week 13 Big Ten college football action from Jack Trice Stadium in Ames.

The TCU Horned Frogs come into this game looking to build on a narrow 31-28 win over Kansas in their last game. Max Duggan’s thrown for 1,832 yards, 14 touchdowns and 5 interceptions on 64.7% passing while Zach Evans and Kendre Miller have combined for 1,271 yards rushing with 12 touchdowns as well. Quentin Johnston has 33 grabs for a team-high 512 receiving yards and 6 TDs while Derius Davis and Taye Barber each have 400+ receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Dee Winters leads the Horned Frogs with 74 total tackles whle Ochaun Mathis has 4 sacks as well for TCU this season.

The Iowa State Cyclones will look to bounce back from a 28-21 loss to Oklahoma in their last game. Brock Purdy’s thrown for 2,722 yards, 16 touchdowns and 7 interceptions on 72.9% passing while Breece Hall leads the Cyclones with 1,230 rushing yards and 17 touchdowns this season. Xavier Hutchinson also has 846 receiving yards with 5 TDs while Charlie Kolar has 658 receiving yards. On defense, Jake Hummel leads the Cyclones with 70 total tackles while Will McDonald IV has 10.5 sakcs and Eytoma Uwazurike has 7.5 sacks as well this season.

TCU is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games overall and 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 5-0 in their last 5 games following a win. Iowa State is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games overall and 20-8 ATS in their last 28 games following a loss while the under is 6-0 in their last 6 Friday games.

I get the case that could be made both ways here, but I’m going to lean the way of TCU here. The Cyclones are just waiting on their fate as they’ll be in one of the mid-level bowl games in the coming weeks. The Horned Frogs don’t have that luxury though and bowl eligibility is on the line here. I’m not sure who wins this game, but I lean towards TCU and the points, expecting the better effort from TCU in this one.

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