June 10 MLB Betting Guide: NL East Showdown

MLB Betting Guide for Thursday, June 10


Thursday’s 10-game MLB slate has plenty of action to check out, with the first games starting at 12:35 p.m. Eastern.

Keep an eye on the weather in Washington. The start of the Nationals’ series with the Giants has the potential for rain.

Look below to see which matchups you should target.

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies Moneyline, Total, and Odds


Moneyline: Braves +120 | Phillies -142

Spread: Phillies -1.5

Total: 8

Odds to Win World Series: Braves +2000 | Phillies +5000

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook today and get your first bet risk-free for up to $1,000.

Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies, Analysis, and Picks

Probables: Ian Anderson (Braves) vs. Zack Wheeler (Phillies)


Projected Lineup

The Braves and Phillies cap off a three-game series with an afternoon finale after a 2-1 Phillies win Wednesday night, with a walk-off home run from Luke Williams in his first start.. The Braves currently lead the season series 2-1.

Ian Anderson takes the mound today, making his 12th start of the season. He last pitched in a 9-5 loss to the Los Angeles Dodgers on June 4, throwing 98 pitches, allowing four runs on one hit and striking out six batters. In his three matchups against the Phillies this season, he is 0-0, pitching 16.1 innings, allowing eight runs on 15 hits and striking out 20 batters. With a 4-3 record to start the season, Anderson has a 3.64 ERA, 26.1% K rate, 1.23 WHIP and a 28.1% CSW rate.

He uses a three-pitch mix of fastball (48%), changeup (32%) and curveball (20%). Look for Anderson to throw the changeup as the pitch for striking out batters. With a 35% K rate, the pitch is used 34.9% of the time in two-strike situations, resulting in a 30.4% CSW rate, 40.1% Whiff rate and a 54.4% PutAway rate.

The Phillies will likely use Odubel Herrera, Jean Segura, Bryce Harper and Rhys Hoskins at the top of the order. Andrew McCutchen, projected to bat sixth, is 3-for-7 with one home run. Collectively, the team has the third-highest strikeout rate at 26.7%, hitting .231 on the season.

Zack Wheeler will make his 13th start, last pitching in a 2-1 loss to the Washington Nationals on June 4. He went 7.1 innings, throwing 101 pitches, allowing two runs on five hits and striking out eight batters. In his first two meetings against the Braves, he is 1-1 in 11.2 innings, with a 2.31 ERA, allowing three runs on eight hits, striking out 14 batters. A dominant arm in the National League East, Wheeler is 4-3 with a 2.51 ERA, 31.3% K rate and a 0.94 WHIP. Among qualified starters, he is 11th in K rate, 13th in WHIP and 12th in K per 9.

Wheeler uses a two-pitch mix of fastball (67%) and slider (25%) primarily. He prefers the slider for striking out batters. Used 30% in two-strike situations, the pitch has a 37% K rate, 29% CSW rate, 31% Whiff rate and a 64.3% PutAway rate.

Look for the Braves to use Ronald Acuna Jr., Freddie Freeman, Ozzie Albies and Austin Riley at the top of the order. Freeman has had the most success against Wheeler, going 17-for-40 with two home runs. The Braves are hitting .237 with a .318 OBP, the eighth highest in the league.

Wheeler faces a tough Braves lineup but should benefit from their high strikeout rate (25.2%), securing the series win for the Phillies.

The Bet: Phillies (-142)



Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox Spread, Moneyline, Total, and Odds


Moneyline: Blue Jays -118 | White Sox +100

Spread: Blue Jays -1.5

Total: 9

Odds to Win World Series: Blue Jays +2500 | White Sox +650

Odds courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook. Sign up for FanDuel Sportsbook today and get your first bet risk-free for up to $1,000.

Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox News, Analysis, and Picks

Probables: Hyun-Jin Ryu (Blue Jays) vs. Dallas Keuchel (White Sox)


Projected Lineup

The Blue Jays and White Sox cap off their three-game series tonight, after a 6-2 Blue Jays win Wednesday, tying the series at one game apiece.

Hyun-Jin Ryu will make his 12th start of the season, looking to bounce back after a 13-1 loss to the Houston Astros on June 4. Ryu pitched 5.2 innings, allowing seven runs on seven hits, striking out one batter. With a 5-3 record to start the season, Ryu has a 3.44 ERA, 22.8% K rate, 1.11 WHIP and a 28.9% CSW rate.

Ryu uses a four-pitch mix of fastball (32%), changeup (29%), cutter (25%) and curveball (12%). He is likely to use the cutter to strike out batters. The pitch has a 29.7% K rate, used 32.8% in two-strike situations, resulting in a 24.5% CSW rate, 27.7% Whiff rate and a 55% PutAway rate.

The White Sox will likely use Tim Anderson, Nick Madrigal, Yoan Moncada and Jose Abreu at the top of the order. The team leads the league in OBP (.341) and is fourth in batting average (.255).

Dallas Keuchel takes the mound for the White Sox, making his 13th start of the season. He last pitched in a 9-8 White Sox win on June 4, recording a no-decision after pitching six innings, throwing 80 pitches, allowing two runs on five hits and striking out three batters. A 4-1 record to start the season, he has a 4.25 ERA, 12% K rate and a 1.29 WHIP. Known as an extreme groundball pitcher, Keuchel has a 58.7% groundball rate with a 26.2% CSW rate this season.

He uses a three-pitch arsenal of fastball (40%), changeup (32%) and cutter (20%). The cutter is the most effective pitch in the repertoire for striking out batters. It is used 22.6% of the time in two-strike situations, resulting in a 24% CSW rate, 17% Whiff rate and a 33% PutAway rate.

The Blue should use Marcus Semien, Bo Bichette, Vladimir Guerrero Jr. and Teoscar Hernandez at the top of the order. Semien has had the most success against Keuchel in his career, going 11-for-40 with one home run. One of the more effective offenses, the Blue Jays are second in batting average (.258), sixth in OBP (.323) and have the fourth-lowest strikeout rate (22.3%).

With two high-powered offenses squaring off facing two pitchers with contact rates above 75%, expect plenty of runs.

The Bet: Over (9)

The post June 10 MLB Betting Guide: NL East Showdown first appeared on SportsGrid.

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