June 11 MLB Betting Guide: Focus on deGrom

MLB Betting Guide for Friday, June 11


Start the weekend off with a 15-game slate of MLB baseball action, featuring an island game at 2:20 p.m. Eastern.

The weather seems to be uncooperative in Washington D.C., so make sure you keep tabs on the forecast.

Look below to see which matchups you should target.

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers Moneyline, Total, and Odds


All MLB Betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook

Moneyline: White Sox -180 | Tigers +150

Spread: White -1.5

Total: 8.5 Over (-102) | Under (-120)

Odds to Win World Series: White Sox +650 | Tigers +25000

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers, Analysis, and Picks


Probables: Lucas Giolito (White Sox) vs. Tarik Skubal (Tigers)

Projected Lineup

American League Central rivals Chicago White Sox and Detroit Tigers kick off the third series of the season Friday, with the White Sox 2-0 on the season.

White Sox Analysis


Lucas Giolito takes the mound, making his 13th start of the season. He last pitched in a 4-3 loss to the Detroit Tigers on June 5, allowing four runs on seven hits, striking out nine batters with 102 pitches thrown in seven innings of work.  In his previous two meetings with the Tigers this season, he has posted a 0-2 record, collectively throwing 13.2 innings, allowing eight runs on 12 hits and striking out 16 batters. With a 5-5 record this season, Giolito has a 3.88 ERA, with a 30.4% K rate, 1.12 WHIP and a 30.9% CSW rate.

Giolito uses a three-pitch mix of fastball (45%), changeup (37%) and slider (17%). His changeup is one of the most effective pitches in the major. With a 39% K rate, the pitch is used 38% in two-strike situations, resulting in a 37.6% CSW rate, 40% Whiff rate and a 53% PutAway rate.

The Tigers will likely use Robbie Grossman, Jonathan Schoop, Willi Castro and Miguel Cabrera at the top of the order. Cabrera, a future Hall-of-Famer, has had the most success against Giolito, going 6-for-20 with two home runs. The Tigers have the highest strikeout rate in the majors at 27.9%, third in OBP at .295 and have the fifth-lowest batting average at .227

Tigers Analysis


Tarik Skubal takes the mound for the Tigers, making his 11th start of the season, last pitching in a 4-3 win against the Chicago White Sox on June 5, throwing 103 pitches in five innings of work, allowing one run on four hits and striking out a season-high 11 batters. This season he is 3-7 with a 4.33 ERA, 28.3% K rate, 1.44 WHIP and a 27.9% CSW rate.

Skubal uses a three-pitch mix of fastball (54%), slider (23%) and changeup (15%). Look for the changeup as the go-to pitch for striking out batters. With a 37.5% K rate, the pitch is used in 21% of two-strike situations, resulting in a 34% CSW rate, 53% Whiff rate and a 66% PutAway rate.

The White Sox should use Tim Anderson, Adam Eaton, Yoan Moncada and Jose Abreu at the top of the order. Tim Anderson has had the most success against Skubal, going 3-for-4 with one home run. The team leads the league in OBP (.341) and is fourth in batting average (.255).

Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigers Predictions and Picks


Skubal faces a tough White Sox offense, despite his recent success, showing he can hold his own in the majors. Look for Giolito to have plenty of run support, leading to a White Sox win.

The Bet: White Sox (-180)



San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets

San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets Moneyline, Total, and Odds


All MLB Betting lines, odds and prop bets are available on FanDuel Sportsbook,

Moneyline: Padres +144 | Mets -172

Spread: Mets -1.5

Total: 5.5 Over (-118) | Under (-104)

Odds to Win World Series: Padres +340 | Mets +2000

San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets News, Analysis, and Picks


Probables: Blake Snell (Padres) vs. Jacob deGrom (Mets)

Projected Lineup

In a rematch between two of the top teams in the National League, the Padres head to the east coast to start a three-game weekend series with the Mets.

San Diego Padres Analysis


Blake Snell takes the mound, making his 13th start of the season. He will look to keep his win streak going after a 2-0 win against the Mets on June 4, going seven innings, throwing 101 pitches, allowing one hit and striking out 10 batters. With a 2-2 record to start the season, the former CY Young Award winner has a 4.83 ERA, 33.2% K rate and a 1.43 WHIP. Among starters who have pitched 50 or more innings, Snell is 10th in strikeout rate.

He uses a four-pitch mix of fastball (46%), slider (22%), changeup (17%) and curveball (14%). Look for the slider to be the go-to pitch for striking out batters. With a 44% K rate, the pitch is used in 47% of two-strike situations, resulting in a 32.4% CSW rate, 44.8% Whiff rate and a 59% PutAway rate.

The Mets should feature Jonathan Villar, Francisco Lindor, Pete Alonso and Dom Smith at the top of the order. Keep an eye on Kevin Pillar. Projected to bat seventh, Pillar is 7-for 19 against Snell. The Mets are batting .236 as a team, with a 23.7% K rate.

New York Mets Analysis


Jacob deGrom is scheduled to make his 10th start tonight, last pitching in a 4-0 win against the San Diego Padres on June 5. He went seven innings, throwing 85 pitches, allowing three hits and striking out 11 batters. One of the most dominant arms in the majors, deGrom leads all qualified starters in strikeout rate (45.4%), ERA (0.62), K/9 (14.43) and WHIP (0.57). To start the season, he has a 5-2 record.

deGrom uses a three-pitch mix of fastball (63%), slider (26%) and changeup (10%). His four-seam fastball is one of the most effective pitches in the league. With a 36.4% K rate, the pitch is used in 23% of two-strike situations, resulting in a 44% CSW rate, 56% Whiff rate and an 82.6% PutAway rate. He also leads the league in pitches thrown over 100 MPH with 121, with Shane McClanahan registering 10 for second.

The Padres will likely use Tommy Pham, Manny Machado, Jake Cronenworth and Fernando Tatis Jr at the top of the order. The Padres have the 10th– lowest batting average at .232 and have the second-lowest strikeout rate at 21.8%.

San Diego Padres vs. New York Mets Predictions and Picks


Look for a dominating performance from Jacob deGrom, securing the series opener for the Mets.

The Bet: Mets (-172)

The post June 11 MLB Betting Guide: Focus on deGrom first appeared on SportsGrid.

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