Leafs vs Bruins Odds, Picks and Predictions for Tuesday (Mar 29)

  • The Toronto Maple Leafs and Boston Bruins faceoff on Tuesday, March 29th
  • The Bruins are listed as -134 home favorites in the Tuesday NHL odds
  • Read below for Leafs vs Bruins odds, picks and predictions

The Toronto Maple Leafs (41-19-5) and Boston Bruins (41-19-5) will renew their rivalry in an Atlantic Division NHL matchup on Tuesday, March 29th. The puck drops at 7pm ET at TD Garden.

The Bruins are listed as -134 home favorites in the Tuesday NHL odds. The total is set at 6.5 with oddsmakers projecting a high-scoring affair between two Eastern Conference heavyweights.

Let’s take a look at the Leafs vs Bruins odds and offer you our NHL best bet for Tuesday’s game.

Leafs vs Bruins Odds

Game Time Team Puck Line Total Moneyline
Tuesday, Mar. 29 Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 (-220) O 6.5 (+106) +110
7pm ET Boston Bruins -1.5 (+175) U 6.5 (-129) -134

Odds as of  March 28 at Barstool Sportsbook.

The Bruins are listed at +175 odds on the puckline, while the Leafs are -220 to keep the game within two goals. Boston’s -134 moneyline price means they have 57.2% implied probability to win.

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Bruins Home Favorites in Tuesday NHL Odds

The surging Bruins are favored to beat the Leafs at home in the Tuesday NHL odds. Boston is 14-2-1 in their past 17 games following a 6-3 win over the Islanders on Saturday. The B’s are 20-10-2 overall at TD Garden this season.

Aside from the recent surge, there’s other factors in play with Boston’s moneyline price. The Bruins have had Toronto’s number over the past few seasons, eliminating the Leafs in both the 2018 and 2019 NHL Playoffs.

Goaltending is a major reason why the Bruins are likely to receive plenty of public money for Tuesday’s big game. Boston’s Jeremy Swayman is 10-1-0 in his past 11 starts, allowing only 22 goals in that span. Swayman is Tuesday’s projected starting NHL goalie.

While Swayman is providing stability in goal, the Bruins are getting offensive production from a wide variety of sources. Top-line forward Brad Marchand has five goals in his past five games, while second-liners Erik Haula and Charlie Coyle each have six assists in that span.

Do Leafs Hold Underdog Value vs Bruins?

The Maple Leafs are listed as rare underdogs in the Tuesday NHL Odds. Tuesday’s NHL matchup at TD Garden will mark just the fourth time in 66 games in which Toronto isn’t listed as betting favorites. Sheldon Keefe’s team is 1-2 as betting underdogs.

Toronto’s +110 moneyline price gives them 47.6% implied probability to beat the Bruins. The Leafs are 6-3-1 in their past 10 games following an impressive 6-3 win over the Panthers on Sunday. Florida currently has the best record in the entire Eastern Conference.

Toronto’s underdog price might seems like a gift considering the Leafs own an identical record to the Bruins and also have better odds to win the 2022 Stanley Cup. The Leafs have dropped three straight road games, however, and are only 17-12-3 away from home.

The Leafs have a lethal offense led by the NHL’s leading goalscorer Auston Matthews. Toronto is averaging 3.65 goals per game, which is third-best in the league. That’s one of the reasons oddsmakers have set a high total for Tuesday’s game.

The Leafs’ major issue is goaltending, as projected starter Petr Mrazek has struggled with consistency. While Mrazek has won back-to-back games, the Czech native is only 12-6-0 with a .890 save percentage in 2021-22.

Leafs vs Bruins Pick & Prediction

When making a pick for Leafs vs Bruins, it’s impossible to ignore the head-to-head history in this Original Six rivalry. Although Toronto’s struggles in Boston are well-documented, the Leafs did beat Boston at home in the first meeting this season.

Leafs vs Bruins Recent Results

Date Home-Away Money Line Puck Line Over/Under
11/06/2021 TOR 5 – BOS 2 TOR TOR Over
11/15/2019 TOR 2 – BOS 4 BOS BOS Push
10/22/2019 BOS 4 – TOR 2 BOS BOS Under
10/19/2019 TOR 4 – BOS 3 OT TOR BOS Over
04/23/2019 BOS 5 – TOR 1 BOS BOS Over

When two NHL teams have identical records, you need to dive deeper into advanced stats and underlying numbers. Both these teams have been top-five in the NHL over the past month in controlling puck possession and generating high-danger chances.

The clear mismatch in this game is goaltending, as Swayman is on an absolute heater while Mrazek has been inconsistent. Boston outshot Toronto in the first meeting but Leafs’ goalie Jack Campbell (currently injured) played much better than Boston’s Linus Ullmark.

Swayman’s recent play combined with Boston’s depth scoring makes them a worthwhile play in the Tuesday NHL odds. They’ve been the better team of late and should feed off the crowd at TD Garden to take another meeting with the Leafs.

Pick: Bruins ML (-134)

The post Leafs vs Bruins Odds, Picks and Predictions for Tuesday (Mar 29) appeared first on Sports Betting Dime.

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