The Milwaukee Brewers and the Cincinnati Reds meet Thursday in MLB action from Great American Ball Park. This will be the final installment in a three-game set between these teams this week. The Brewers won the first game by four runs, then on Wednesday the Reds returned the favor to even it up. Check back all season long for free MLB picks at Sports Chat Place.
Milwaukee notched two runs in the ninth inning on the way to a 5-1 victory on Tuesday. In the Wednesday game two, the Brewers posted nine team hits but couldn’t make the comeback in an eventual 7-3 defeat. Brett Anderson lasted just 3.0 innings with four earned on five hits.
For the starting role Thursday, the Brewers are sending out Freddy Peralta. Over his 64.0 innings this year, Peralta has 29 hits, 16 earned runs, six homers allowed, 27 walks, 92 strikeouts and a 2.25 ERA.
Over on the Reds’ side, they got hit twice in the Tuesday loss, losing Sonny Gray to a groin injury. In the Wednesday game, Cincinnati jumped out to a 7-1 lead after four innings and cruised from there. Vladimir Gutierrez went 7.0 innings with two earned on six hits and three walks.
For the Thursday starting pitcher job, the Reds are going with Luis Castillo. Over his 58.1 innings of work this year, Castillo has 58.1 innings, 73 hits, 51 runs (43 earned), nine homers allowed, 24 walks, 53 Ks and a 6.63 ERA.
The Brewers are 4-1 in their last five in game three of a series and 4-9 in their last 13 Thursday games. The under is 17-6-1 in Milwaukee’s last 24 Thursday games and 25-11 in their last 36 road games.
Meanwhile, the Reds are 6-2 in their last eight in game three of a series and 2-6 in the last eight Thursday games. The under is 5-1-1 in Cincinnati’s last seven in game three of a series and the over is 10-4-1 in the last 15 Thursday games.
PICK: I’m going to stick with the Brewers. Peralta came within five outs of a no-hitter in his last start Friday versus the Diamondbacks. Over his last two starts, Peralta has 14.1 innings with just five hits and two runs. As for Castillo, he finally got another win in his last outing and kept his velocity high the whole way. I like another good game from Castillo as well in a Milwaukee win.