Naomi Osaka vs Belinda Bencic 3/31/22 Miami Open Tennis Picks, Predictions, Odds

Belinda Bencic and Naomi Osaka meet in the semifinals of the 2022 tennis Miami Open.

Belinda Bencic is coming off a straight set win over Daria Saville that took 15 games to decide. In the victory, Bencic won 64 percent of her first serve points and 67 percent of her second serve points. Bencic won 65 percent of her total service points and converted on six of her 11 break points. Bencic saved seven of her eight break points, and she has yet to drop a set this tournament. Bencic has won 12 of her last 18 sets overall. Bencic looks to make her third WTA 1000 final appearance and the first since 2019 Dubai. Bencic is 2-2 in previous WTA 1000 semifinal matches. Bencic has won six of her last nine matches on hard court.

Naomi Osaka is coming off a straight set win over Danielle Rose Collins that took 15 games to decide. In the victory, Osaka won 88 percent of her first serve points and 50 percent of her second serve points. Osaka won 74 percent of her total service points and converted on five of her seven break points. Osaka hit 13 aces in the victory and didn’t face a single break point. Osaka has yet to drop a set this tournament, and she’s lost a combined 10 games in her last four sets. Osaka looks to make her fourth WTA 1000 final appearance and first since the 2020 Cincinnati Open. Osaka is 3-1 in previous WTA 1000 semifinal matches. Osaka has won five of her last six matches on hard court.

Bencic has won four of the five meetings against Osaka, including the most recent match in the 2019 US Open. In fact, Bencic has won the last four meetings against Osaka and is 3-0 against her on hard court. Four of the five meetings have been decided in straight sets.

Osaka should be the favorite here, considering she’s the better player when both are at the top of their game. However, it’s tough to ignore the current form of Bencic and the h2h numbers. Bencic has beaten Osaka on hard court three times, and two of those meetings came in 2019. The line is probably accurate, but the value is with Bencic and the big plus money.

Give me Bencic.

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