Let’s check out the top odds and picks for the NASCAR FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan Speedway.
Odds to Win the FireKeepers Casino 400
Best Picks for the FireKeepers Casino 400
The NASCAR Cup Series races at only two two-mile intermediate tracks: Auto Club Speedway and Michigan International Speedway. The two are highly correlated, although Auto Club's aging track surface differs from Michigan's smoother pavement. Still, I intend to lean heavily on the results from Auto Club when making my picks.
We do have a few other solid comparator circuits. Las Vegas Speedway, Kansas Speedway, and Charlotte Motor Speedway all have relatively smooth surfaces, and drivers who performed well in those races should fare well on Sunday. Drivers who looked good in the All-Star Race at Texas Motor Speedway should benefit, too.
Larson (+100 (1.25u) at DraftKings) vs. Elliott
The books are once again overrating Elliott. Although this line didn't hit last weekend, Larson and Elliott were running pretty similar races before Larson's brakes stopped working. As a result, I'm stunned to see Larson's implied odds at exactly a coin flip.
Larson beat Elliott at Auto Club this year. He also finished ahead of Elliott in his lone Michigan start for Hendrick Motorsports. Further, Larson was beating Elliott here in Michigan before he even joined Hendrick. He is 6-3 against Elliott at Michigan all time. Lastly, Elliott hasn't recorded a top-five finish here since June 2017. Larson has added one win and three top fives to his Michigan resume since then.
Elliott's streak of consecutive top-two finishes came to an end last weekend. I already wasn't scared of the momentum, but I'm even less scared of it now. Backing Larson on multiple markets is a surefire way to secure profitable picks for the FireKeepers Casino 400.
Whether you’re new to sports betting or a betting pro, our Sports Betting Strategy and Advice page is for you. You can get started with our 101 section — including 10 Sports Betting Tips for Beginners — or head to more advanced strategy — like Key Numbers When Betting Against the Spread — to learn more.
The post NASCAR FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan Odds & Picks: Matchup to Bet (2022) appeared first on BettingPros.