Let’s check out the top odds and picks for the NASCAR FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan Speedway.
Odds to Win the FireKeepers Casino 400
Best Picks for the FireKeepers Casino 400
The NASCAR Cup Series races at only two two-mile intermediate tracks: Auto Club Speedway and Michigan International Speedway. The two are highly correlated, although Auto Club's aging track surface differs from Michigan's smoother pavement. Still, I intend to lean heavily on the results from Auto Club when making my picks.
We do have a few other solid comparator circuits. Las Vegas Speedway, Kansas Speedway, and Charlotte Motor Speedway all have relatively smooth surfaces, and drivers who performed well in those races should fare well on Sunday. Drivers who looked good in the All-Star Race at Texas Motor Speedway should benefit, too.
Top 10: Austin Dillon | +190 (.45u) at FanDuel
We'll come back to Dillon for this prop. He scored a top 10 at Auto Club and barely missed the top 10 at two shorter, smoother intermediates, Kansas and Las Vegas. As a result, I'm surprised that his line is this long.
Dillon is no stranger to the top 10 at Michigan, either. He owns five career top-10 results in 18 starts. His most recent such finish came in 2020, the second-to-last Michigan race.
The No. 3 team has scored an impressive seven top-10 results this season. That's more than three drivers who have won this season: Denny Hamlin (5), William Byron (5), and Chase Briscoe (4). While the consistency hasn't been enough to put Dillon in playoff contention, this team should continue to make smart late-race decisions that keep their driver toward the front.
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