Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Brooklyn Nets Betting Model Breakdown
Brooklyn blew out the Thunder 120-96 in their first meeting back in November, comfortably covering a -9.5 spread on the road. Steve Nash’s group will be on the second night of a back-to-back, while Oklahoma City is on one day’s rest.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Brooklyn Nets NBA Game Information
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Brooklyn Nets Moneyline, Spread, Total, and Odds
Odds to Win NBA Championship
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Brooklyn Nets Game Predictions and Picks
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Brooklyn Nets News and Notes
The Nets return home following their most impressive victory of the season last night – a 138-112 demolishing over the Eastern Conference-leading Chicago Bulls. Kevin Durant led Brooklyn with 27 points, while James Harden notched a 25 point, 16 assist double-double. It was a much-needed statement, as the Nets had won just two of their past seven games. They’ll look to keep the momentum going against a struggling Thunder squad and earn their second straight win, something they haven’t done since December 25 and 27.
Oklahoma City comes in losers of five straight, the most recent a 122-118 defeat to the Washington Wizards. Of those five losses, the team has been held under 100 points in three of them, continuing a season-long trend. The Thunder enter tonight’s contest ranked 29th in offensive efficiency and last in points per game (100.0). However, there is some hope, as they will be matched up against a Nets defense that has allowed their opponents to score 110 or more points in each of their past eight games. Whether Mark Daigneault and company can take advantage is another question.
On the injury front, Brooklyn will be without Kyrie Irving (unvaccinated) and Joe Harris (ankle), while Nicolas Claxton (hamstring) and LaMarcus Aldridge (foot) are set to be game-time decisions. One should also keep an eye on the status of Harden, who continues to battle a left knee hyperextension. The Thunder will be missing Isaiah Roby (health and safety protocols) and Kenrich Williams (health and safety protocols).
While the Nets have been surprisingly poor against the number this season (15-24-1), our model’s expected margin of +10.9 makes the current line of -7.5 a strong play. Brooklyn can outscore anyone, and we don’t see the Thunder slowing them down this evening. The Nets current moneyline of -310 also looks relatively safe compared to our model’s fair money line of -467. We are not as ecstatic on the game’s total of 219 but lean ever so slightly towards the over.