Ottawa Senators vs Winnipeg Jets NHL Picks, Odds, Predictions 5/3/21

The Winnipeg Jets and the Ottawa Senators meet in NHL action from the Canadian Tire Centre on Monday night.

The Winnipeg Jets will try to rebound from a 5-3 loss to the Montreal Canadiens in their last matchup. Mark Scheifele leads the Jets in scoring with 55 points including 19 goals and a team-high 36 assists while Nikolaj Ehlers has 26 points but will miss the rest of the season due to injury. Kyle Connor’s got 44 points with a team-high 22 goals and 22 assists and Andrew Copp has 37 points with 15 goals and 22 assists. Blake Wheeler also has 36 points with 11 goals and 25 assists this season. As a team, Winnipeg is averaging 3.1 goals on 29.7 shots with a 25% success rate on the power play while allowing 2.8 goals on 31 shots with a 79.1% success rate on the PK this season.

The Ottawa Senators will look to rebound from a 3-2 loss to Montreal in their last game. Brady Tkachuk leads the Sens in scoring with 34 points including 16 goals and 18 assists while Josh Norris and Drake Batherson each have 32 points with Norris logging 15 goals and 17 assists while Batherson has a team-high 17 goals and 15 apples. Thomas Chabot’s got 31 points with a team-high 25 assists and Connor Brown has 28 points with 17 goals of his own and Tim Stutzle has 26 points with 17 assists. As a team, Ottawa is averaging 2.7 goals on 30.2 shots with a 16.3% success rate on the PP while allowing 3.5 goals on 32.2 shots with a 78.2% success rate on the PK this season.

Winnipeg is 0-6 in their last 6 games overall and 8-3 in their last 11 road games while the over is 10-4-2 in their last 16 games against a team with a losing record. Ottawa is 5-2 in their last 7 games overall and 22-53 in their last 75 games against a team with a winning record while the under is 5-1-3 in their last 9 games as an underdog. The favorite is 8-2 in the last 10 meetings between these two teams.

I get why the Jets would be favored as the better team here, but the price here is telling us which way to go. The Jets are the better team, but side-by-side, they should be a -170 or -180 team even with losing 7 of their last 10. However, the Sens have played their best hockey at home this season and are catching the Jets in a vulnerable spot right now. Give me the Senators and the plus money in this spot.

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