SMU vs Tulsa 11/27/2021 College Football Picks, Best Bets and Odds

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane and the SMU Mustangs meet in AAC college football action from Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Saturday afternoon.

The Tulsa Golden Hurricane will be out to build on a 44-10 win over Temple in their last game. Davis Brin has thrown for 2,725 yards, 15 touchdowns and 14 picks on 59.2% shooting from the field, while Shamari Brooks, Anthony Watkins and Deneric Prince have a combined 1,873 yards and 13 touchdowns this season. Josh Johnson leads the Golden Hurricane with 868 receiving yards on 69 passing while JuanCarlos Santana has 554 receiving yards and Sam Crawford Jr. has 472 receiving yards as well this season. On defense, Justin Wright leads the Golden Hurricane with 60 total tackles and 3.5 sacks while Anthony Goodlow has a team-high 4 sacks and TieNeal Marin has 3 interceptions as well this season.

The SMU Mustangs could use a bounce back win after a 48-14 loss to Cincinnati in their last outing. Tanner Mordecai has thrown for 3,330 yards, 38 touchdowns and 10 interceptions on 69.1% passing while Tre Siggers and Ulysses Bentley IV have a combined 1,312 yards, and 12 rushing TDs this season. Danny Gray leads the Mustangs with 803 receiving yards while Rashee Rice has 620 receiving yards and Reggie Roberson Jr. has 574 receiving yards. Grant Calcaterra also has 465 receiving yards with Gray and Rice logging 9 TDs apiece while Roberson Jr. has 6 TDs and Calcaterra’s got 4 scores. On defense, Delano Robinson has a team-high 73 total tackles while DeVere Levelston has a team-high 6.5 sacks and Turner Coxe has 6 sacks. Gary Wiley also has 4.5 sacks for the Mustangs this season.

Tulsa is 24-8 ATS in their last 32 games against a team with a winning record and 11-4 ATS in their last 15 conference games while the over is 6-1 in their last 7 games following an ATS win. SMU is 6-0 ATS in their last 6 home games and 8-20 ATS in their last 28 games in November while the under is 7-3 in their last 10 home games.

I get why you’d look at Tulsa here as this feels like a lot of points when there’s not much on the line for SMU here. However, another loss would do a lot of harm to SMU’s confidence and their chance to reach a big time bowl game. Tulsa’s in dire need of the win here, but I need a million dollars, doesn’t mean it’s coming. I think SMU wins this one by a TD, so I’ll lay the points with SMU here.

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