South Alabama vs Georgia Southern 10/14/21 College Football Picks and Predictions

The Georgia Southern Eagles and South Alabama Jaguars square off Thursday night in a Sun Belt week 7 college football contest from Ladd Peebles Stadium in Mobile, Alabama.

The Georgia Southern Eagles will look to rebound from a 27-24 loss to Troy in their last game. Justin Tomlin’s thrown for 458 yards and 4 INTs on 49.4% passing while also rushing for 116 yards. Logan Wright leads Georgia Southern with 475 rushing yards and 5 scores while Gerald Green’s got 327 yards and 5 scores on the ground as well. Khaleb Hood, Wright and Derwin Burgess Jr. each have 100+ receiving yards this season. On defense, Anthony Wilson has a team-high 34 total tackles while C.J. Wright has a team-high 4.5 sacks and Justin Ellis has 3.5 sacks this season.

The South Alabama Jaguars will look to bounce back from a 33-31 loss at the hands of Texas State last time out. Brady McBride’s thrown for 786 yards, 7 touchdowns and 3 interceptions while Calvin Hill’s rushed for 239 yards and Brock Sturges has 151 rushing yards. Marcell Barbee and Javen Banks each have 100+ receiving yards on the year. Markeveon Coleman has a team-high 34 total tackles for South Alabama’s defense while Issiah Nixon has a team-high 3 sacks.

Georgia Southern is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games against a team with a winning record while the over is 15-7 in their last 22 games as a road underdog. South Alabama is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 home games and 3-7-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall while the under is 7-1 in their last 8 games in October.

Against most teams, Georgia Southern’s option offense could pose an issue. However, the Jaguars are just outside the top-40 in the country in terms of rushing defense while the Eagles have had a porous defense for much of the season and will have a hard time slowing down even the mediocre offense of South Alabama. I just think this is a spot where Georgia Southern’s defense and the inability to maintain good field position proves to be the difference. Give me the Jaguars and lay the points here.

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