Top NBA Betting Picks for Sunday, February 14

Valentine’s Day is here, and the NBA has blessed us with another marquee matchup between the Los Angeles Lakers and Denver Nuggets for tonight’s slate. The Nuggets struggled in their first game against the Lakers, so they’ll look to turn things around tonight in Denver.

Here are the top NBA betting plays for Sunday, February 14, provided by BettingPros experts Raju Byfield and Isaiah Sirois (Main game odds courtesy BettingPros Consensus; lock and prop odds sites may vary)

Bet up to $25 on the Lakers and Nuggets’ point total (Feb. 14) and help move the total down by one point >>

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Betting Locks of the Day

Sirois: Blazers +5 (-110 at FD Sportsbook)

The Dallas Mavericks may be on a four-game winning streak, but they covered the spread in just one of those victories. They’ll take on a Blazers squad with a better record that’s on a three-game winning streak tonight, and I have to take them plus the points. My efficiency-based model has this game as a pick’em, and with Portland outranking Dallas in offensive efficiency (and with the teams almost tied in defensive efficiency), I wouldn’t be surprised to see the Blazers pull off the win tonight.

Top Team Prop of the Day

Sirois: Nuggets First Quarter +0.5 (-108 at FD Sportsbook)

The Nuggets suffered a double-digit loss to the Lakers the last time these teams met, but let’s not forget how that game started. Denver got out to an early three-point lead after the first quarter, but they just couldn’t keep up afterward. In fact, 31.2% of their total points came in the first quarter. Denver scores the third-most points per first quarter (31.1) and allows the 11th-fewest (27.6), both of which rank ahead of the Lakers, so I’m confident that they can finish the first quarter at least tied with Los Angeles.

Top Player Prop of the Day

Sirois: Kawhi Leonard Over 6.5 Rebounds (-110 at FD Sportsbook)

I played Leonard’s points and rebounds line on Friday, but in what should be a slow-paced game against the Cavaliers tonight, I’ll roll with just his boards here. Leonard has averaged 8.8 rebounds per game since Paul George went down with a foot injury, and Cleveland gives up the ninth-most rebounds per game to opposing small forwards (8.3). Since Leonard has failed to go over just once since George went down, you should feel comfortable about playing this line tonight.

Check out our NBA Prop Bet Cheat Sheet for the top bets of the day >>

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