Three NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Sunday, May 30
We have another great day of playoff basketball in-store on Sunday. There are four games to choose from, which gives us plenty of opportunities to look for value in the player prop market.
Player props can be useful in multiple ways, from taking advantage of them straight up (to the tune of cold hard cash) or to measure a player’s potential to produce in daily fantasy basketball. Here we’ll focus on utilizing our projections and a slew of other tools to help make money betting player props.
For this article, we are using the odds provided at FanDuel Sportsbook to pinpoint spots where value can be had tonight.
Please note that betting lines and our game projections may change throughout the day after this article is published.
Andre Drummond Under 9.5 rebounds (-122)
Drummond has fared well on the glass in this series vs. the Suns. He’s racked up 32 total rebounds, including at least nine in all three games.
That said, there are some reasons to expect regression moving forward. For starters, his minutes are down during the postseason. He averaged 24.8 minutes per game with the Lakers during the regular season, but he’s played 20.1 minutes or less in two of his first three playoff games. Drummond is a great rebounder, but it’s hard to pull down double-digit boards in 20 minutes or less. He’s averaged 8.23 rebounds per 20 minutes with the Lakers, so I think this line is just a touch too high.
Tristan Thompson Over 12.5 rebounds + assists (-100)
Thompson is going to be asked to play a huge workload for the Celtics on Sunday. They were already playing without Jaylen Brown, and Robert Williams has also been ruled out for Game 4. Williams was limited to just 6.3 minutes off the bench in Game 3, and Thompson played 30.5 minutes in that contest. He racked up 13 rebounds and one assist, and he’s averaged 14.2 rebounds + assists per 36 minutes this season.
Kristaps Porzingis Over 6.5 rebounds (-128)
Porzingis has had a disastrous series as a rebounder to start the NBA playoffs. He’s pulled down 11 total rebounds through his first three games vs. the Clippers, which gives him the same amount as Tim Hardaway Jr. and Terance Mann. That’s embarrassing since Porzingis is approximately 7’3” and has played more minutes than both players.
That said, Porzingis seems like a prime buy-low target. He wasn’t necessarily a bad rebounder during the regular season, averaging 8.9 rebounds in just 30.9 minutes per game. He’s averaged closer to 34 minutes per game during the playoffs, so he should be able to match that number at a minimum.
Additionally, he has the potential to be in a great spot in Game 4. The Clippers chose to play extremely small in the second half of Game 3, with Nicolas Batum starting at center in place of Ivica Zubac. The Clippers have been crushed with Zubac on the court this season, so I expect his minutes to be minimal in this contest. There’s a chance that Serge Ibaka can return to the lineup after sitting in Game 3, but there will still be long stretches where the Clippers don’t have a traditional center on the court. That’s going to give Porzingis a significant size advantage.
The post Three NBA Player Prop Bets to Target on Sunday, May 30 first appeared on SportsGrid.
Responses